NFL · resolved market
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b2e0bf3f5ebf57659e5931ddbcaa6306e17775c1eaa0af731118be51da2677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 89,542$23,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,334.4 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 3c | 10,669$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…0877backed Yes | 19c | 8,982$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 10c | 7,991$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed No | 74c | 7,530$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 11c | 5,959$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…34ecbacked Yes | 2c | 5,777$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 17c | 5,561$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed Yes | 0c | 5,144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 76c | 4,033$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.33 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 47c | 3,987$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.38 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed No | 79c | 3,703$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 3,491$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…662abacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed Yes | 1c | 2,338$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…2f80backed Yes | 2c | 1,787$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 76c | 1,658$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.33 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…1c7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,582$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,454$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 1,397$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 63c | 1,334$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 41c | 1,311$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…933cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,189$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 69c | 1,154$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,090$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…9b56backed Yes | 3c | 1,014$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 16c | 904.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Yes | 24c | 900$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 23c | 877.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…9a84backed Yes | 16c | 856.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 7c | 840$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…14ddbacked Yes | 25c | 822.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 22c | 805.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…d847backed Yes | 3c | 798.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 77c | 781.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 778.36$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed Yes | 4c | 746.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…3428backed Yes | 27c | 743.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed No | 71c | 707.8$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked Yes | 27c | 692.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 15c | 639.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 12c | 624.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…a478backed Yes | 25c | 601.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 582.13$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 9c | 578.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…2c47backed Yes | 3c | 489.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…8331backed Yes | 4c | 470$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…5cafbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Yes | 15c | 440.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…05c7backed Yes | 34c | 437.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…e313backed Yes | 24c | 419.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes | 24c | 410.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…407abacked Yes | 29c | 406.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…5cd3backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…f97ebacked Yes | 21c | 394.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 10c | 394.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 66c | 393.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…411cbacked Yes | 27c | 372.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 17c | 338.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed Yes | 8c | 328.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…2022backed Yes | 10c | 314.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 4c | 300.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 63c | 300.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…b378backed Yes | 24c | 292.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…6b07backed Yes | 34c | 290.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…d9c4backed Yes | 35c | 286.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 25c | 277.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 25c | 273$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…29f7backed Yes | 19c | 269.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Yes | 16c | 268.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…0a35backed Yes | 19c | 263.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 256.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4b11backed Yes | 14c | 250.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…afbfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 19c | 243.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 6c | 232.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70d…7044backed Yes | 4c | 229.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Yes | 23c | 223.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…6299backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…0f3abacked Yes | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…d95cbacked Yes | 25c | 203.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…31ccbacked Yes | 25c | 201.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61a…e637backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 58c | 189$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Yes | 21c | 184$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…94e4backed Yes | 11c | 177.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?this page
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?Yes won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.