TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e2c…b7f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Stocks, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.94
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$114,000.19
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$17,500
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5,405.22
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,370
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$40,350
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,002
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,544.6
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$7,189.49
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,772.01
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,990
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,073.17
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$521
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,908
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.05
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.98
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,495
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.58
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,940.45
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$481
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,488
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.32
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.31
Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Solana reach $150 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Solana reach $140 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,002.5%+$10,877.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.53
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.46
Will Solana reach $190 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$147.76
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$55.22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$347.99
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.44
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33,993Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30,145.02
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,073.54
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.23
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$759.44
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.35
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.57
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,499.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+146.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,199.74
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$88.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$6,040.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,657.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prince Andrew released by February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$73.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.