Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $140 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74795c449ba15be6b0541c73beaa51d01d840606c84331ad97375b55004ccba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 1c | 27,675$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.94 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…fa97backed Yes | 3c | 23,009$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 2c | 12,744$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 2c | 11,786$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…3d3bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…770abacked Yes | 1c | 8,582$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…0ba2backed Yes | 1c | 4,705$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…13d7backed Yes | 1c | 4,400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…15cabacked Yes | 1c | 4,110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,980$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 3,931$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c85…755dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,981$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 2c | 2,975$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,848$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,587$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,295$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,972$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…4e84backed Yes | 3c | 1,768$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…0951backed Yes | 3c | 1,700$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…1b22backed Yes | 2c | 1,689$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,683$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,515$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 1,469$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…2171backed Yes | 3c | 1,283$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 1,219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 3c | 1,168$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 956$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 843.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 2c | 776.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 3c | 638.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 2c | 611.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…570fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…a6b7backed Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 3c | 303.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $140 in March?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in March?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $100 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.