TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$660,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes50c60,541$30,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,43535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5c…5831backed Yes18c46,123$8,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,820.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6411…f456backed Yes26c37,359$9,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,608.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+283.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No51c35,803$18,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,430.1237745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…9af1backed Yes63c33,017$20,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,250.611811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed No32c22,800$7,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,361.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…ca0ebacked No73c16,706$12,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,245.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed No35c16,054$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,636.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes55c15,772$8,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,120.2863835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…9055backed Yes65c15,074$9,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,224.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f4…cf83backed No64c14,743$9,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,376.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0042…81e5backed No64c14,674$9,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,317.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No45c8,458$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.5329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d1…bfa6backed No41c6,281$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…b5cdbacked No0c5,023$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d7…238cbacked No59c5,023$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.84050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed Yes72c4,583$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed7…9e66backed Yes69c4,550$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked No5c4,398$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.882133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb8…cd17backed Yes70c4,198$2,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…b14cbacked Yes67c3,998$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No67c3,973$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.563839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes47c3,329$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.132650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed Yes65c3,000$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0412733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe042…c07cbacked Yes77c3,000$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes60c2,777$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.318919.1%17 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No67c2,472$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed No14c2,410$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.29205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes27c2,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.9114213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No28c2,041$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.77112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed No35c1,816$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.243215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35e…0867backed Yes26c1,788$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.871435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a13…f178backed Yes26c1,675$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f4…9ed0backed No44c1,669$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.033531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes71c1,514$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.05540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes46c1,494$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.5931523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473a…7194backed Yes48c1,315$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes51c1,257$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.936417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No44c1,166$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.481435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…8010backed No1c1,002$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e1…976dbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18e…9ef3backed Yes22c1,000$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick19cpaid+213.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0c…b9b6backed No50c740.65$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.588235.4%29 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ced…9ec2backed No40c707.26$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf000…5667backed No61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4272564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5883…a3a9backed Yes66c640$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No67c600$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3995756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No45c592.62$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7413117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Yes68c579.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb0…2ccebacked No72c576$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked No21c561$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.66119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffd0…74cabacked Yes39c539.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…4ab1backed No66c532.63$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No34c514.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.838116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No49c501.24$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5316537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07cb…867fbacked Yes21c501.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.06450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+153.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x824f…e635backed Yes43c465.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5e…32c2backed No29c451.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No51c440.06$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.336250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes30c400$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2794163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980f…5b55backed No33c394.45$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.173650%18 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked No8c392.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821422.1%3 W · 139 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fb…ad54backed Yes39c384.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.61728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No6c383$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.981693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d3…83d8backed No33c377.9$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576e…188cbacked No36c375.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No51c363$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.381717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e9…fba8backed No56c358.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No24c357.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.26140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No35c345.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedad…17b2backed Yes45c338$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.096250%31 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes47c335.29$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.681931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Yes34c301.7$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed No7c301.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.092581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d92…419bbacked No34c298$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533a…51a6backed No34c298$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…2170backed No34c298$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135a…6270backed Yes52c290.76$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…a5a7backed Yes56c285.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e20…0bd8backed Yes67c284$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…2fcebacked Yes62c269$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…7379backed Yes69c262.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Yes25c259.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…4e3cbacked No36c247.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f13…ca9abacked No71c242.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…d662backed Yes61c241.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+143.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26d…20bbbacked Yes66c240$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6e…154dbacked Yes15c236$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+553.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c232.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3311533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee70…7e8abacked Yes70c230.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked No13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes22c227.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.311,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c25…2b77backed No16c225$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04c…c23cbacked Yes62c221$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes59c220.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.957835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed No42c215.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No47c214.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.548327.7%23 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.