TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes9c49,368$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes14c23,240$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36014213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…9af1backed Yes7c22,772$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.851811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97d…0077backed Yes1c19,507$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c14,020$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.754163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c11,138$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes14c7,989$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.7663835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb803…b265backed Yes1c5,006$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No60c4,936$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.8929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ca…ea69backed Yes1c3,558$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes1c3,537$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501379.5%13 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes5c3,428$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.871792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fb…9f17backed Yes1c3,361$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Yes6c3,153$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes6c2,899$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.04527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3c…e920backed Yes35c2,847$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes14c2,846$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.058116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x269c…6e55backed Yes12c2,744$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes5c2,616$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.751672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c2,282$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.386785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes11c2,119$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.543998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes7c1,950$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.511373.6%5 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes6c1,857$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed No69c1,738$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes43c1,731$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.616543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…a85bbacked Yes6c1,631$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.283339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…9627backed Yes1c1,498$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Yes6c1,408$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb0…2ccebacked No59c1,219$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930c…2651backed Yes10c1,055$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.732222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes8c1,052$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.79160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…46d1backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c9…65febacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…52f1backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…99dabacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Yes9c927.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.852133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc97b…47e5backed No60c921.83$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ef…1cf4backed Yes34c746$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes8c725.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.922683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes11c712.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6931523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No76c699.36$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.066250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes4c584.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.788919.1%17 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes4c539.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56190%0 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…1ad9backed Yes17c539.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.75195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-84.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7846…4c60backed Yes13c538.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes17c515.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8516537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1db…8c44backed Yes4c512$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…35b9backed Yes5c501$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15a…9c74backed Yes14c495$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1b…e114backed Yes7c467.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f93…79a9backed Yes6c425$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…ad8abacked Yes6c420$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked Yes44c410$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.92462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes12c403.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes4c398.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4e…57e6backed Yes7c395.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286d…8dcdbacked Yes9c380$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da1…0298backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec68…a36fbacked Yes15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53520%7 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…1507backed No58c342.76$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70f3…2822backed Yes31c309.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.042025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcc…10e4backed Yes4c305$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef87…bf2bbacked Yes6c295$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes7c276.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1250%0 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb50b…5b3ebacked Yes4c276$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bc…3d81backed Yes14c259.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc8…6960backed Yes25c256.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e84…8c6bbacked Yes6c254$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes7c235.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.756320.6%13 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98df…59f1backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed Yes8c222.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd342…1ad9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28f…8970backed Yes6c200.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b4…308bbacked Yes20c200.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2224backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…45a3backed Yes7c197$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc4…6770backed Yes12c193$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1511244.6%50 W · 62 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b06…da4dbacked Yes6c182$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419e…ea24backed Yes6c182$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e95…2bbcbacked No54c177.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…b417backed Yes6c166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…6701backed Yes6c157$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…1841backed Yes6c157$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473a…7194backed Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes9c148.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…a463backed No80c146.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes10c141$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765d…8189backed Yes10c136.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.291030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7590…2db7backed Yes13c132.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a62…138bbacked Yes10c132.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Yes18c129.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…f46fbacked Yes37c118.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee70…7e8abacked Yes44c116.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.