TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x104a…5b05backed Yes17c63,360$11,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,035.218017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes19c14,960$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.4463835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c8,144$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.254163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20bd…4845backed No80c8,119$6,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.941181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7a…fa97backed Yes12c7,976$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.0680%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82a…9055backed No80c7,184$5,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.751283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes15c5,382$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.53998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c4,193$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.321490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c4,015$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.64110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes27c3,952$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.854912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked No79c3,900$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.222462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes5c3,885$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1955…9865backed Yes25c3,417$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x044a…f35ebacked No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x887d…634ebacked Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick22cpaid+280.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes4c2,651$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.821373.6%5 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No78c2,481$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.743514.3%5 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c2,377$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes15c2,279$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.838116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53be…5040backed No75c2,006$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852a…49fabacked Yes28c1,889$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes4c1,805$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.051792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c1,782$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.936785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes19c1,731$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.358713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…1dd8backed Yes18c1,519$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Yes2c1,506$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba01…76ebbacked Yes3c1,505$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes19c1,413$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7229126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes16c1,279$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.33432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes5c1,247$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.941672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes23c1,045$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.835425.9%14 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35b4…56b1backed No77c1,007$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b1…bb91backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed No80c999.65$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.931952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes29c805.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2feb…b324backed Yes11c800.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902516%4 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No71c800$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23618162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Yes19c757.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes2c696.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.941435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7498…03b7backed Yes15c680.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c35…ee57backed Yes15c662.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e86…1c5dbacked No80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6db…0bbfbacked Yes32c604.88$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes27c594.18$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.866543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes3c579.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20260%0 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a3…8046backed Yes14c565.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d300backed Yes27c550.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.72412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes7c548.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.442683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c28…bca7backed Yes2c536$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c6b4backed Yes18c534.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.214413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5936…afa3backed Yes36c532.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f4…9ed0backed No76c457.05$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.333531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca0c…b9b6backed No75c442.01$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.928235.4%29 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No64c409$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.973948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No80c400$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked No78c400$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…42a7backed Yes23c390$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-68.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes21c372.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.753721.6%8 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+1,064.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3284…c689backed Yes23c349.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes22c335.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.816537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb439…7418backed Yes22c310$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.460%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No77c308.05$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.976250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60466.5%3 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-81.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…95eabacked Yes16c298.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c2…e9a7backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ee…e231backed Yes19c265.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50190%0 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes4c252.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022010%2 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ead…c599backed Yes20c219.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9390%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes12c216.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.371931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yes35c214.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…8304backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404161%25 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa928…c67abacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eaf…10c4backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…368abacked No76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492576%19 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08d0…1f1fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…37b0backed Yes15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed No77c188.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x497d…944cbacked Yes18c166.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes26c149.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081c…308bbacked Yes36c146.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.78327.7%23 W · 60 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187f…a85bbacked Yes9c143.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.733339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes23c131.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed No76c131.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6275…f1f8backed Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…d5e2backed Yes36c128.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb448…f777backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…13bbbacked Yes17c116.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fe…f516backed Yes17c116.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…6611backed Yes29c109.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8790%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252015%3 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…9627backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471e…a63ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed Yes23c96.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.272821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc54e…9598backed Yes20c95.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.387065.7%46 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Yes19c91.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Yes35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.