TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa927…4847

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$28.37
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$394.91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$46.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$39.65
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$474.81
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Troyes: Dali Blanch vs Mickael Kaoukbacked Mickael Kaouk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Dammbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+332.7%+$332.73
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Daniel Evans vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Daniel Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Targu Mures: Radu Albot vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+306.4%+$316.17
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Yeon-Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Hannah Klugman vs Tereza Valentovabacked Hannah Klugman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazuabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.23
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibsonbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$384.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.79
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$96.31
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+534.7%+$1,069.42
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$29.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.2%+$45.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+341.5%+$341.53
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$26.81
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$25.31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$47.37
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$66.08
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$70.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$64.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$363.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$51.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+115.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-70.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.24
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+137.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$48.37
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$752.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.