TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,267,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,265,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,267,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1255…dc0fbacked Yes48c312,122$150,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,649.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes80c217,315$173,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,001.488640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f9…e37dbacked No1c133,963$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.241540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c124,075$87,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,019.8234354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ca…1067backed Yes22c120,734$26,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,480.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+210%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x804c…3202backed Yes18c118,082$21,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,827.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes5c106,804$4,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,872.32922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick5cpaid+178.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes45c104,131$46,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,695.64445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc12b…af60backed Yes13c91,970$12,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,746.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+661.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88be…652dbacked Yes31c87,478$27,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,179.66825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Yes43c78,078$33,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,506.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes11c75,902$8,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,620.288341%34 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes24c72,285$17,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,780.813119.4%6 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+447.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes15c66,194$10,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,046.414161%25 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes29c62,676$18,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,557.2420538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0765…8bf9backed Yes77c59,657$45,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,792.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes50c59,355$29,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,6483141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed No30c58,020$17,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,600.861650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+138.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes10c57,191$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,421.98825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567a…f5f4backed Yes21c56,484$11,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,589.861216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e3…67ffbacked No79c55,256$43,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,621.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…adb6backed Yes8c54,632$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,049.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+236.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7510…367fbacked Yes8c51,630$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,732.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,224.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ca…e881backed Yes15c50,643$7,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,065.591338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+296.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes15c49,243$7,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,640.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+219.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd957…c5ffbacked Yes53c48,395$25,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,689.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+518.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x824e…265abacked Yes73c47,619$34,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,020.061216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes17c47,519$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,543.716726.9%18 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes52c41,701$21,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,972.54729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba3…17bfbacked Yes8c41,651$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,488.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,217.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b41…df0bbacked Yes2c41,634$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,684.83450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+1,044.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes27c39,628$10,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,029.486536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004f…c39fbacked Yes17c36,921$6,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,652.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+316.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f7…5b87backed Yes12c36,421$4,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,156450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+278.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x238a…a504backed Yes3c36,166$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,058.891330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+245.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x484d…2c31backed Yes14c35,180$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+594.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No75c33,307$25,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,132.9435258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e3…8ac7backed Yes10c32,855$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,601.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+909.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No41c31,532$13,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,028.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3029…0805backed Yes22c30,234$6,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,502.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+124.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc6…4f74backed Yes6c29,839$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,184.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,806.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6431…fc85backed Yes33c29,546$9,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,897.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…aa20backed Yes7c29,230$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,290.99825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+106.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes52c28,840$14,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,865.292846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3644…dd79backed Yes24c26,950$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,367.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c4…6ef9backed Yes11c26,228$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,330.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+805.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes65c26,220$16,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,282.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac81…c181backed Yes27c25,421$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,624.06540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c55…4ee4backed Yes11c25,144$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,503.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…04cebacked Yes5c24,764$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,505.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+1,080.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32a…ae1fbacked Yes57c24,018$13,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,434.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No59c23,894$13,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,996.2711853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes13c23,374$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,389.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+683.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4df…39d9backed Yes24c22,546$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,186.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c6…cd43backed Yes22c21,302$4,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,642.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c20,011$15,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,273.3254934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c6…73a7backed Yes13c20,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+203%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…4fffbacked Yes27c20,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes25c18,305$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,746.123751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3dc…e513backed Yes57c18,202$10,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,880.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+195.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed No71c18,055$12,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,788.383537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No66c17,851$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,870.317037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ada…743ebacked Yes8c16,708$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,319.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,216.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62af…daeebacked Yes18c16,493$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,589.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick8cpaid+941.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No74c16,322$12,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,086.8210646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No79c16,251$12,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,818.3218628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes32c15,488$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,589.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No16c15,260$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.411349.6%56 W · 57 L+28.4wins+0.25per pick24cpaid+106.5%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9a1b…ee30backed No0c15,023$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes17c14,839$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,254.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+474.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7c…a896backed Yes8c14,812$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,675.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+551.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…7da2backed Yes70c14,732$10,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…12b6backed Yes9c14,473$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,187.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+125%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec2…44c5backed Yes9c14,337$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,047.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+169.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae67…bfd0backed Yes7c14,132$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,084.6812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…a8b5backed Yes59c14,122$8,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes18c13,935$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,477.461747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9292…567bbacked Yes50c13,695$6,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,782.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5dc…35f9backed No10c13,518$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.63040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No58c12,910$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,506.73560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes21c12,556$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,965.172020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes11c12,469$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,052.95817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes15c12,320$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,486.386219.4%12 W · 50 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes20c12,099$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,714.39825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8035…0f4bbacked Yes25c12,042$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,973.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8d…edc1backed Yes36c11,854$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,626.07633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Yes11c11,838$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,498.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+342%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa136…9489backed Yes6c11,708$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,008.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,574.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes9c11,680$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,633.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,016%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa44…0a39backed Yes27c11,454$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,381.82633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b7…b260backed Yes9c11,354$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,370.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+285%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…0088backed Yes19c11,288$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,172.6616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9536backed Yes6c11,100$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,383.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+875.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Yes16c10,833$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,133.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+218.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e1…5683backed Yes6c10,688$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,043.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+349.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2946…bfc4backed Yes26c10,158$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,560.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No59c10,090$5,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,945.1726355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked No72c10,021$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,234.591668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No18c10,000$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7844032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.