World Politics · resolved market
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1a75d6305f5edee255b3f368cca945bde401fea4b2a7e34f2fcca3b3e56cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,524,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,005,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,524,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,093 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes | 1c | 169,588$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 29c | 125,378$36,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,523.69 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 124,943$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.43 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 73,869$57,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,525.82 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 7c | 72,341$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.73 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 3c | 63,397$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 68c | 61,259$41,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,923.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 80c | 51,139$40,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,881.35 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 20c | 51,049$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,662.89 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed No | 23c | 46,905$10,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,983.66 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 19c | 40,339$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…c181backed Yes | 8c | 37,386$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…4f74backed No | 5c | 35,185$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,434.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,806.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 74c | 33,730$24,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,852.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 21c | 33,670$7,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 24c | 33,197$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,360.73 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 79c | 31,012$24,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,565.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…ef0fbacked Yes | 80c | 29,491$23,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,514.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 72c | 29,108$21,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,021.28 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…5b9ebacked Yes | 69c | 29,073$20,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,075.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 21c | 28,544$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,477.27 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…aa36backed Yes | 69c | 28,472$19,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,603.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 19c | 27,902$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,612.48 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 33c | 26,847$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,890.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 24,900$18,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,085.95 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…67ffbacked Yes | 79c | 24,195$19,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,229.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 80c | 23,368$18,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,626.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 16c | 23,159$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,413.59 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked No | 37c | 22,258$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,978.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed No | 37c | 21,879$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,873.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 17c | 20,720$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,271.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 18c | 20,660$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,855.73 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…13fdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,634$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…ee30backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 69c | 17,973$12,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,412.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…f5f4backed No | 23c | 17,906$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,748.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 30c | 17,862$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,587.45 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…025ebacked Yes | 74c | 17,055$12,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,662.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 67c | 16,955$11,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 80c | 16,227$12,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,981.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…e3bbbacked Yes | 2c | 15,795$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 24c | 15,524$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,864.25 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Yes | 69c | 15,123$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 71c | 14,386$10,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,637$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…9973backed Yes | 11c | 13,452$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…d33bbacked Yes | 79c | 13,164$10,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed Yes | 1c | 12,687$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 41c | 12,618$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 76c | 12,582$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,544.64 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Yes | 78c | 12,480$9,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,719.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 11,942$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.49 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…8944backed Yes | 36c | 11,615$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 11,069$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked No | 25c | 10,897$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,185.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +239.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…8bf9backed No | 20c | 10,804$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,676.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 15c | 10,743$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,160.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…ac6fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,574$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 62c | 10,048$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.5 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 59c | 9,999$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked No | 29c | 9,957$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,059.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 5cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 78c | 9,946$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed Yes | 3c | 9,939$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…d6b4backed No | 31c | 9,796$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…9ae8backed Yes | 79c | 9,762$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed No | 31c | 9,616$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1255…dc0fbacked No | 60c | 9,601$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 20c | 9,500$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,628.83 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 5c | 9,500$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,986.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 3c | 9,462$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…5623backed Yes | 75c | 9,147$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,896.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…454bbacked No | 12c | 9,136$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +714.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 3c | 8,991$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 76c | 8,964$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 37c | 8,835$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560.5 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…19a4backed No | 7c | 8,690$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 8,655$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.7 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 66c | 8,482$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.23 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Yes | 41c | 8,457$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…0a39backed Yes | 16c | 8,406$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 79c | 8,276$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.18 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…dcbabacked No | 7c | 8,138$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +507.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 72c | 8,076$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.72 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 74c | 8,073$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…daeebacked No | 4c | 7,971$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 8cpaid | +941.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…21a5backed Yes | 77c | 7,486$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked No | 19c | 7,452$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 7,285$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.19 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 65c | 7,249$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.85 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…af60backed No | 27c | 7,121$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +661.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 7,042$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.37 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 15c | 6,997$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +126%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…a35ebacked Yes | 59c | 6,975$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 68c | 6,929$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 76c | 6,784$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…18b5backed Yes | 63c | 6,768$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 79c | 6,750$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.02 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 6,672$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionthis page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes won
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.