TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,324,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,192,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,324,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc21e…0215backed Yes0c513,573$1,954 inLost-$1,954.2140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b21…a5c9backed Yes0c282,511$283 inLost-$282.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b98…23eabacked Yes0c277,993$278 inLost-$277.9940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Yes0c227,702$836 inLost-$835.81140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c226,859$227 inLost-$226.863614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes0c197,201$197 inLost-$197.2280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c122,716$280 inLost-$279.83130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c84,298$191 inLost-$190.954440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes0c33,332$100 inLost-$10090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c30,672$31 inLost-$30.67460%0 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c29,800$84 inLost-$84.4120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes0c29,094$29 inLost-$29.09326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes0c27,185$36 inLost-$36.39583.4%2 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…b965backed Yes0c24,532$25 inLost-$24.53120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes0c15,213$15 inLost-$15.211100%0 W · 110 L-0.4wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fd…43a6backed Yes0c13,500$13 inLost-$13.5200%0 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c11,086$14 inLost-$14372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…c911backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c7…f85fbacked Yes0c8,002$32 inLost-$32.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes0c2,540$10 inLost-$10.1680%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes1c2,512$13 inLost-$13.394922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.