TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dce…4490

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,715
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1,28519.5%250 W · 1,035 L+44.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,285 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$48.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$37.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.97
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$228.89
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$325.3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$142.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+256.6%+$120.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Showing 25 of 1,285 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.63
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,651.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$150.54
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$511
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$148.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.67
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.5
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.23
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$136.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.4
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$52.8
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$134.69
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT5429.6%16 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$582
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,589.37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,463.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.5
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$193.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,368.68
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$145.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$300.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$46.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.2%+$216.28
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+76.1%+$229.1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75%+$248.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.1%+$176.58
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$86.93
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+266.2%+$47.24
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$17,890.23
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$57,695.6
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.5
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.28
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+339.5%+$7,607.48
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$16,245.65
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.17
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.07
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.8
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+50%+$2,518.01
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,662Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$2,395.7
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$39.08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$159.5
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.74
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,651.97
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,043.25
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$184.46
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$197.88
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.54
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-76.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$60.62
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$618.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66%+$47.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.62
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$177.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.4%+$406.59
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$33.39
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+124%+$154.99
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$93.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.96
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.26
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.85
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+426.3%+$64.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$53.1
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-52.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.3
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+150%+$24
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$390.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+441.7%+$301.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$51.17
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+911.2%+$162.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$83.06
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$47.88
Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Will Cracker Barrel (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+62.1%+$32.96
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$18.9
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.99
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90.3
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.99
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$62.99
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
South Alabama vs. UL Monroebacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Appalachian State vs. James Madisonbacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinoisbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
NC State vs. Miamibacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Air Force vs. UConnbacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
South Florida vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+316.7%+$38
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridabacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+81.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.95
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$624.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$1,856.89
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,602.7
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,280.7%+$439.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.26
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.64
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.39
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$33.2
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+433.6%+$186.9
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+255%+$588.99
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$104.66
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.04
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$119.6
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,142.48
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.51
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$76.2
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.2%+$195.9
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.3%+$46.91
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+107.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+49.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+211.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+597.7%+$128.5
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$208.9
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$159.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+203%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$124.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.