Earnings · resolved market
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3726731a3d0689f6d73035ab5ceb2c3b3bae35f089a4863bf4739e919667181c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 363.51$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 22c | 355.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed No | 50c | 288.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 23c | 244.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 9c | 224.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed No | 23c | 218.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 18c | 204.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…7601backed No | 16c | 182.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed Yes | 71c | 141.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 52c | 139.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…bae5backed No | 19c | 112.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 103.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed No | 49c | 101.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 20c | 97.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…f108backed Yes | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed Yes | 71c | 76.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 68.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c2a3backed Yes | 71c | 63.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 29c | 55.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…d5e1backed No | 57c | 53.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 37c | 53.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 61c | 49.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…a87cbacked Yes | 68c | 43.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 73c | 32.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 74c | 28.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 39c | 27.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…3761backed No | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 73c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.