TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36fa…1125

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.1
Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.35
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.36
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+135.3%+$39.1
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.02
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.8
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$41.22
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.64
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$82.43
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.69
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$34.84
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.32
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.35
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+43.5%+$25.46
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+276.5%+$229.76
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150.2%+$21.78
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$56.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.8%+$16.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+37%+$11.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Cuban Raft Raiders (BO1) - LPLOL Group Cbacked Cuban Raft Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.24
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Baam Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Playoffsbacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Solary vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$53.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47%+$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$20.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.