Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd23cf17b0c2705228ecc4964f76d0c813749990cacb1e821bc1ded9820d7dd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 12c | 2,295$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 10c | 1,805$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,455$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.07 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 754.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 72c | 723.11$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.34 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 31c | 721.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.65 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 21c | 664.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.47 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 61c | 593.33$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 43c | 588.28$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.87 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 54c | 518.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 69c | 440.36$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 44c | 401.08$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 359.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 40c | 353.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 338.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 308.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 31c | 306.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 63c | 304.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 16c | 302.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 40c | 295$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 24c | 291.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 289.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…cce8backed Yes | 22c | 275.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 41c | 270$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…8c61backed No | 77c | 261.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 43c | 259.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed No | 79c | 252.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 249.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 28c | 230.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 24c | 227.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a680backed Yes | 30c | 227.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 28c | 222.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 32c | 206.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 25c | 200.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 20c | 199.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…6041backed Yes | 58c | 199.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 43c | 187.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 183.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 22c | 182.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 179.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 35c | 176.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 175.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 76c | 170.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 73c | 165.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 73c | 159.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…0f78backed Yes | 32c | 156.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 74c | 156.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 25c | 152.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…27a1backed Yes | 44c | 152.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 29c | 147.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 145.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 71c | 140.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 24c | 131.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…8f87backed Yes | 26c | 127.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked No | 79c | 126.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…742dbacked No | 79c | 118$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 33c | 114.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bda3backed No | 79c | 104.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…9c94backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 97.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 31c | 96.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 48c | 96.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed Yes | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 94.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9ba7backed Yes | 34c | 93.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 73c | 92.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 50c | 88.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 23c | 87.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 42c | 87.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Yes | 59c | 84.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…5c16backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bca0backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…6dc5backed Yes | 32c | 77.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed Yes | 25c | 76.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…67d8backed Yes | 34c | 73.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…fc5cbacked Yes | 35c | 72.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 26c | 72.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 31c | 67.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…9bfabacked Yes | 41c | 67.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 34c | 67.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…24a5backed No | 68c | 66.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 65.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…8d54backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 59c | 62.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 22c | 60.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…42c0backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…fd95backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 41c | 58.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 68c | 58.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.