Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d526c7f90e0224f03bcc62493075c15dd19ca7f9036e3f4ae0752cb3759cd62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Yes | 6c | 927.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 18c | 886.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 44c | 722.07$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.92 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 14c | 700$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 8c | 650$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 72c | 619.96$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 34c | 449.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 425.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 37c | 360.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 3c | 345$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 337.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed No | 60c | 335.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 32c | 335.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 56c | 314.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 50c | 312.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 38c | 305.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 48c | 295$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 293.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 16c | 292.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 44c | 280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 70c | 264.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dec…a0ccbacked No | 59c | 210.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 33c | 208.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 37c | 204$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 57c | 199.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 15c | 195.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 191.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 42c | 189.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Yes | 35c | 179.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 48c | 178.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed Yes | 58c | 171.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 53c | 163.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 61c | 157.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed No | 52c | 155.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 64c | 155.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 70c | 142.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 132.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 15c | 132.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 70c | 132.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 46c | 119.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 113.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 34c | 112.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 44c | 104.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 39c | 102.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…f872backed No | 45c | 101.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9ba7backed Yes | 42c | 101.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6f33backed Yes | 19c | 100.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 56c | 100.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 46c | 100.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 99.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…cce8backed No | 61c | 98.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 55c | 90.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…3f6cbacked No | 64c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 89.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 82.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 42c | 80.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…5c16backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 45c | 73.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 32c | 73.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 38c | 72.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 43c | 70.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bca0backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 46c | 65.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 48c | 64.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 58c | 62.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…cb1dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 32c | 55.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 33c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d381backed No | 63c | 53.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 58c | 51.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9483backed Yes | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…cf3bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Yes | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 50c | 46.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…cc7abacked No | 45c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 43c | 45.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…282fbacked Yes | 65c | 45.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…9756backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c703backed Yes | 39c | 38.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed No | 58c | 38.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 66c | 37.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.