TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b0f…50be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT8535.3%30 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+226%+$67.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$28.89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$20.2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+380.1%+$64.62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$69.03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$15.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$5.58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$24.88
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$13.4
AEK vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.27
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.02
Will AC Milan vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.28
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.68
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$8.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick76cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.