South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eedc4f87e02f956427c277e3f348218d2161e2d5e7086bf68d26f6a84eb8bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 30,342$15,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,171.47 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 18,059$9,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 67c | 6,844$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.38 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 6,833$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 4,514$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 4,297$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 3,085$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.8 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.85 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 1,995$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.02 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 53c | 1,746$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.24 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 35c | 1,729$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 1,516$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 72c | 974.08$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 33c | 874$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.77 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 70c | 743$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.52 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 691.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.13 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 674.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 653.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.81 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 43c | 559.65$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 32c | 513.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 49c | 496$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 487.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 465.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 405.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.26 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 37c | 402.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 396$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.71 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 342$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 48c | 323.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 53c | 282.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1282…97f1backed Yes | 65c | 252.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 37c | 247.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 236$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 16c | 222.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 209.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 51c | 170$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…88d6backed Yes | 52c | 168.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 157.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…3e52backed Yes | 63c | 156.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 74c | 151.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 148.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 32c | 143.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 45c | 128.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 54c | 126.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 35c | 126$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 49c | 124.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 67c | 121.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 113.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 64c | 110.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 49c | 100.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 28c | 95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 31c | 93.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 47c | 92.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Yes | 64c | 89.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 47c | 86.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 83.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…949bbacked Yes | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 72.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 52c | 71.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 71.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 28c | 68.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 61c | 60.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed No | 49c | 59.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 58.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 29c | 58.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 53c | 56.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…d2babacked No | 49c | 54.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 52.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…c9aabacked Yes | 41c | 49.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 78c | 48.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 45.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 52c | 43.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.