TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6654…5952

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$16.79
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.19
LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.11
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$30.17
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$21.56
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$13.11
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.05
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.62
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.15
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$6.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$6.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$32.63
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.87
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$20.74
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$17.12
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+132.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.68
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.97
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$33.22
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$52
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.17
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+197%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$28.09
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$22.7
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.6%+$15.83
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$33.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$106.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.