TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcccc…dbddbacked No72c31,860$22,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,920.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes28c25,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c16,751$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c14,154$10,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.742,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.966445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes29c3,988$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.393450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes29c3,480$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.014637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No72c3,202$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.462373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Yes29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes30c1,892$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.271,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes21c1,819$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.181,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No72c1,458$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,436$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.571,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes8c1,297$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c1,251$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.789763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,194$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.241,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Yes29c1,152$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,110$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes27c1,102$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.417234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes30c1,002$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.535154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…c755backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No70c986.99$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.787176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes14c909.49$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.765637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes28c884.85$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.762035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c755.1$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9820027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c752.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfc…7684backed No70c699.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fa…1780backed No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes29c598$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff2…81bcbacked Yes23c522.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-74.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes29c520.93$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c520.9$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes30c499.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.753345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes30c411.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes29c410.34$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1195230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes9c407$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes30c405.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206450%32 W · 32 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes12c382.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes29c370$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c364$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes25c353.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes29c345.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No79c344.85$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee1…3e28backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c330$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes25c307.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8423325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes27c297.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes7c288.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes19c263.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes28c259$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No73c247.44$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.931,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes17c232.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No71c213$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7745751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No70c209.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.097753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes28c204.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes26c198.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c195.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6114147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes28c190.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.389246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes28c188.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes29c183.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.336838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes30c169.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No72c165$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.210159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes24c162.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6130739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c156$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefc…62d8backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455932.2%19 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed No72c138.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes8c137.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.