TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$478,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c144,434$93,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,725.886,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes43c107,791$45,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,962.112010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No57c22,385$12,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,625.6824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes43c20,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.993540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes37c20,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.999845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c11,831$8,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.212,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c10,530$4,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,601.71,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.966445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c9,306$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No57c7,500$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c6,925$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c6,594$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.941305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No56c6,465$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.555054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No57c6,364$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.7327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No58c5,452$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.6953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c5,270$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.874,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Yes19c5,181$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes18c5,073$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.1420246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes43c4,817$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.494447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed No56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9803450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes43c4,312$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes35c4,186$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.816240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c3,869$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.8467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes42c3,629$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.5820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No56c3,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c3,246$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.392,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No56c3,245$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.87149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No57c3,175$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes6c3,151$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.054425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No57c3,100$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.9812241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes44c2,802$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.881353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c2,682$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.711,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6a…2991backed No56c2,328$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…d844backed Yes44c2,320$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No60c2,216$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.9621965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes37c2,180$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8117343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…47eebacked Yes7c2,064$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No57c2,058$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.95271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes1c1,863$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.279859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No58c1,750$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No56c1,727$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.28747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes43c1,692$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.1311945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes43c1,679$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.122534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes42c1,511$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4414450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6309646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No58c1,431$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.036838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes26c1,250$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.413841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No56c1,223$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.1110956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes43c1,170$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.114943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40de…450abacked Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc3…92b1backed Yes42c1,130$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No55c1,116$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.27754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes42c1,082$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.615052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No56c1,052$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…8d92backed No57c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No56c999.94$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9710743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No56c999.87$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.949246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes31c968.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.347548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes9c967.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1113727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes43c837.19$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.998632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9635…d0b0backed Yes43c820.56$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes43c820.26$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.714119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c813.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes43c813.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3687147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes17c800$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13911533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes19c768.42$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No55c768.27$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No66c751$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.343473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes27c750.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1992634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes5c730.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No64c720$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2964…9d6abacked Yes3c703.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes26c700$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18123325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…c878backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004531.1%14 W · 31 L-8.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes43c679.07$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…b68bbacked Yes43c655$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…c755backed Yes45c644.44$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes25c642.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No57c627.31$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0231053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes18c608.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1098229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25217544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.