TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5212…29c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Everton FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.5%+$57.55
Will SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+229.1%+$53.5
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$25.89
Will PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$21.61
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Como 1907 vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$24.59
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.2
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+54.5%+$40.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+67.7%+$33.83
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Rangers FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Telstar 1963 vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$84.38
Will FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$36.06
Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.4%+$34.55
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.51
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.