Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e12d24c16b0a13827844efe1b6a11b1ff9eb2b46c3e96e9108bb3ef73077ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 3,699$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.85 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 3,014$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 700.83$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.89 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 45c | 511.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 19c | 395.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 28c | 361.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 34c | 319$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 5c | 307.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 72c | 282.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 234.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 185.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 155.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 60c | 141.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Yes | 76c | 117.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 57c | 88.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7d…3993backed No | 73c | 82.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 17c | 81.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 77.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 72.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Yes | 71c | 66.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 45.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 71c | 36.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…2e17backed Yes | 74c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.