TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No48c77,433$37,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,216.019159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c69,561$36,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,171.9621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes52c10,254$5,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c8,318$4,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.81,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c7,985$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.7571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1205156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes51c5,637$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.9537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9512839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No53c4,921$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.871485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes38c3,999$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.725538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5306553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes38c2,624$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c1,958$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.1624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No48c1,336$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No48c1,142$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.1529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c881.49$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.7519055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes44c852.14$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c852$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes53c675.39$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes52c590.39$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes18c556.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2834…c196backed Yes9c535.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+110.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes51c530.89$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.755745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c511$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c467.37$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.211,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes22c420$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.361855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No48c386.94$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.963259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No49c362.55$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.587766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes39c345.39$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed No62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No47c244.64$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c192.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes53c188.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c177.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c165.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes38c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.257540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes14c146.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.472040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes16c141.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.344330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes43c130.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes52c125.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.513647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No48c117.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.133461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes43c116.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes52c114.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes11c109.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes52c108.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1814045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes34c106.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb182…ab4abacked Yes48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No56c99.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.996836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Yes35c89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.15666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No48c76.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes19c66.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No48c64.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.763868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes38c63.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54d…8649backed No48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked No48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…58ecbacked No50c59.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes28c52.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e860backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed No49c51.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.044445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…9b16backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb223…cb07backed Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa272…2625backed Yes52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c45.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No53c44.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.948100%8 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Yes52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No49c43.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.434148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.