TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c3,471$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.842,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes46c1,900$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8743250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.992680.8%21 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes44c920.31$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.054134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes38c652.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2486328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes44c632.69$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c280.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Yes43c197.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes46c184.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes44c151$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.443458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes44c138.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes44c128$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.321776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes44c123$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.122045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes44c122$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.682245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No54c114.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Yes44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes44c95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes44c88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes44c87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.282657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Yes44c86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed No56c84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.29846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed No56c74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Yes40c67.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes44c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.842339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes44c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed No56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Yes44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x706c…7752backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed No56c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed No56c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked No56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+81.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed No56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Yes44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No55c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed No56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed No56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes37c31.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed No56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked No56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Yes44c28.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked No56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Yes44c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked No56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked No56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed No56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked No56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed No56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed No56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked No56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked No56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed No56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed No56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed No56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed No56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed No56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked No56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed No56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed No56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.121181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Yes44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked No56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No63c22.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.262326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked No56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed No56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed No56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed No56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed No56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed No56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed No56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.