Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1724e225d4da00b09178bc4718a531c1c06796e6ff0a7d093cd05e68c081c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 78c | 25,277$19,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.47 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 8,906$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.94 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 22c | 5,898$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.67 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 3,894$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 2,236$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.97 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 10c | 999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 920.71$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 26c | 578.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 22c | 416.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…0f7bbacked Over | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 22c | 240.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 76c | 239$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 76c | 216$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 34c | 180.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 32c | 127.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 76c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 77c | 76.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 74.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 76c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 24c | 48.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 75c | 31.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Under | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 78c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 78c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.