TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$389,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under57c289,903$164,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,797.652450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over44c152,039$66,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,224.9711848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c28,754$12,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,207.1993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c23,679$10,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,513.892,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over43c18,888$8,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.843951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c10,916$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c7,000$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.9520544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c6,999$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.7438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Over44c6,313$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1505369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Under58c4,999$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over43c4,500$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over45c4,480$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c3,888$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.741,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over44c3,452$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5196046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under62c3,033$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.783164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under57c2,885$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.732236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8608251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c1,900$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under56c1,500$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.493636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over44c1,500$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6552433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Over43c1,489$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over44c1,043$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-75.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over43c1,002$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.691942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over46c999$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.542343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over47c800$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3381…52bcbacked Over75c760.19$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under55c589.09$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.098757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c526.07$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over20c477.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under55c453.03$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Over75c430.88$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under70c401.51$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12913152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12918459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c266.65$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Over46c258.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Under56c249.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.952025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Over43c201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.413648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Over45c166.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under57c166.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.464134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under57c158.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.16875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Over50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under55c153$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over43c149.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c148$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over45c147.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.45354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over44c130.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under54c123$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.582944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c118.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2113754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under54c114$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.442657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Under27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Under29c105$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under54c105$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.