TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5682…97af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,635Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$12,365
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,566.74
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,211.22
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,753.3
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,080
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11,760
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$131.93
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.67
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,219.95
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$795
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$3,330
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$125.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$316.82
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.15
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+144.5%+$932.32
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$154
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$529.47
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$161.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$205.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25.3%+$29.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$149.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$441.31
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$696.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.1%+$277.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+45.3%+$8.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,858Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.9%+$926.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$85.75
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$190.83
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.1%+$1,347
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.82
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+65.9%+$1,396.17
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,107.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.3%+$3,302.46
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,879Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4,224.89
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.2%+$227.3
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,972Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25.8%+$2,057.88
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+41.6%+$2,498.05
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$121.01
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$325.07
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030.53
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+102%+$1,010
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$46.62
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+67.1%+$400
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+174.1%+$873.35
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,707.34
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,803Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.2%+$4,324.57
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,826Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$2,825.86
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+84.6%+$511.15
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$768.78
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+43.2%+$617.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$642.49
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$673.67
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.6%+$1,758
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.62
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,916Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3,762.87
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.68
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$488.12
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.95
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+98.5%+$3,459.56
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,540.07
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$983.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.7%+$240.41
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.1%+$2,384.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,456.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$810
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.1%+$838.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$266.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,801.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$800
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$516.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$593.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,674Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+28.8%+$3,358.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,655Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.6%+$733.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$840
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,777.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.