Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05b55745fbad7e96fc1bbd18eaf4434cccf7f02d23da6827253910f5b3badaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5682…97afbacked No | 67c | 2,784$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 32c | 2,770$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.67 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,739$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…021cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,640$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 59c | 2,088$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.37 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…dd42backed Yes | 68c | 1,692$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,505$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 67c | 1,449$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 14c | 1,422$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed No | 76c | 1,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,092$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…2e3cbacked No | 74c | 1,079$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 30c | 939.16$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.32 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 26c | 898.73$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 32c | 755.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 21c | 713.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +95%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 25c | 677.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 4c | 659.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 62c | 645.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…8a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 634.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked No | 65c | 537$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…b13ebacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 44c | 455.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…923bbacked Yes | 21c | 435$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +7.2wins | +0.60per pick | 24cpaid | +398.6%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…d820backed Yes | 3c | 389.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…bdbebacked Yes | 72c | 381.83$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…9f93backed No | 71c | 368.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 55c | 365.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…b58ebacked No | 69c | 363.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 38c | 348.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…34c6backed Yes | 33c | 322.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed No | 23c | 316.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 74c | 297.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 34c | 276.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 23c | 266.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…1169backed No | 58c | 263.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 45c | 248.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…31c9backed Yes | 10c | 241.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…c675backed Yes | 43c | 230.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed No | 58c | 229.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 50c | 229.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 21c | 206.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 37c | 204$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…957cbacked No | 65c | 200.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed No | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 39c | 178.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…69d5backed No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 16c | 168.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 163.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…7405backed Yes | 25c | 163.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 41c | 157.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 28c | 155.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e976backed No | 69c | 144.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…38b6backed No | 63c | 132.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…99e3backed No | 60c | 117.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 72c | 104.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…0783backed No | 66c | 103.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Yes | 39c | 103.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…12b8backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 30c | 80.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 57c | 79.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…7dafbacked Yes | 39c | 77.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 66c | 75.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 62c | 67.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 59c | 66.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…9469backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…9314backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Yes | 70c | 57.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…fb7dbacked Yes | 39c | 55.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…1a37backed No | 78c | 46.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…eda1backed No | 58c | 44.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…4a00backed No | 46c | 43.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 35c | 40.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 53c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 32c | 36.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 62c | 33.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 38c | 31.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…9b0dbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…5540backed No | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…0446backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…dac2backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4aeebacked Yes | 43c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…23c5backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 65c | 27.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…01aabacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 76c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…6a15backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…1451backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…34a2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…e34fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…4865backed No | 65c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…ec34backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?this page
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.