Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7773a1dc4ec293f12308ac829b244c9c6f4f99f1c0163d1b82ef9c8006529911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,336$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fc…694dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,364$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 37c | 1,661$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,242$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 60c | 1,018$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 11c | 1,012$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.21 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 857.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 54c | 553.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 40c | 516$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…e83bbacked Yes | 8c | 501.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 8c | 485.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 22c | 470.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.32 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 61c | 466$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…9fffbacked No | 60c | 418.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 417.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…6a10backed Yes | 47c | 385.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 27c | 383.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…0b8dbacked No | 74c | 378.94$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 75c | 349.79$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…6348backed Yes | 58c | 344.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed No | 70c | 310.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Yes | 3c | 295.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 59c | 285.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…a9c4backed Yes | 4c | 250.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…eeb2backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 244.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 62c | 242.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 60c | 235.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…2f92backed Yes | 67c | 223.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0593backed No | 59c | 219.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…08f8backed No | 56c | 199.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 64c | 191.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 42c | 163.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked Yes | 24c | 154.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…5039backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…156ebacked Yes | 22c | 141.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 18c | 138.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 137.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…0912backed No | 63c | 129.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…e8abbacked No | 44c | 128.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…1767backed No | 79c | 126.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 41c | 124.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 55c | 110.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed Yes | 45c | 108.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…838bbacked Yes | 46c | 105.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…5bb1backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 60c | 99.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…3a62backed Yes | 52c | 98.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 39c | 97.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 56c | 90.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4071…3de4backed No | 74c | 87.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…35c9backed No | 60c | 82.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…6c69backed Yes | 39c | 77.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…5880backed No | 72c | 75.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 38c | 74.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…d813backed No | 60c | 61.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b5b5backed Yes | 33c | 59.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…2134backed Yes | 32c | 54.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…de5ebacked Yes | 49c | 53.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…0d83backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…f8a1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 75c | 49.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…3aecbacked Yes | 75c | 48.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 30c | 46.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e51…ca50backed Yes | 46c | 43.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…ddc7backed Yes | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…6a15backed No | 51c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked No | 71c | 39.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…0a3ebacked No | 60c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…dafabacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…520dbacked No | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…d659backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…580bbacked No | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…1ffabacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…9738backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…d3e0backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…5d94backed No | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…18f1backed Yes | 69c | 18.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…2368backed No | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…4055backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?this page
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.