Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66191fdb079e26f521d1efe0cca07bca3ab831c64e32d9803c1867e9acd962c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4792…1c11backed No | 0c | 80,149$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6aacbacked No | 2c | 7,357$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 3c | 4,079$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…3736backed Yes | 59c | 2,658$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +1,042.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 3c | 2,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,460$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.66 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 75c | 1,251$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…e1febacked No | 2c | 1,073$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a36abacked No | 2c | 1,053$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed No | 9c | 878.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 45c | 850.69$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 2c | 750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…b6c5backed No | 48c | 681.3$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed No | 6c | 678.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…f6e4backed No | 51c | 447.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed No | 3c | 441.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 37c | 420.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 54c | 399$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 361.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 54c | 351.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 32c | 349.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed No | 43c | 302.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 41c | 265.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…7e45backed No | 53c | 263.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 70c | 225.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…bdbebacked No | 47c | 210.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…9ad1backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…688fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 44c | 181.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 38c | 155.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked No | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…ee39backed No | 35c | 147.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…1478backed No | 17c | 146.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked No | 41c | 145.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 15c | 131.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250d…6d16backed No | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 66c | 99.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 58c | 89.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…75ecbacked No | 39c | 86.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed No | 24c | 85.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…d964backed No | 43c | 84.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 78c | 83.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 58c | 83.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…bed0backed Yes | 62c | 81.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 68c | 81.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…dc39backed No | 36c | 74.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…d808backed No | 41c | 73.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 75c | 70.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…3321backed No | 32c | 68.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…7c01backed No | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +109%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed No | 45c | 61.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc166…34b8backed No | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 23c | 60.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…5e08backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 77c | 57.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 57.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 53.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 36c | 51.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…58f0backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…75a6backed No | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e132backed Yes | 64c | 46.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…271fbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…6229backed No | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…5aa2backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…d3e0backed No | 42c | 35.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…b966backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 60c | 31.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…3d13backed Yes | 69c | 28.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…4017backed Yes | 72c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…4f29backed No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fe42backed Yes | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…0d91backed Yes | 68c | 25.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…a426backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…de6ebacked Yes | 77c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 63c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…8be6backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…2059backed Yes | 63c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?this page
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.