TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08d3…ee39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST6058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.9
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+55.7%+$11.15
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.06
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.66
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.64
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$9.29
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.63
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.11
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.52
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$1,081.45
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.77
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$84.79
Will FA win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.44
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$114.44
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$114.44
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.67
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.12
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+126.4%+$31.48
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.86
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$8.2
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.