Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcb2c1a03c2380c74d449aee1a09e46f5a96791cad0ce39147f3117451042a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,360,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,296,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 0c | 172,753$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…7420backed Yes | 0c | 161,388$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 0c | 71,296$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked Yes | 0c | 63,038$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 0c | 61,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 11c | 60,735$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,573.91 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,427$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 0c | 59,651$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…ee39backed Yes | 0c | 57,294$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…d762backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…8213backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…48bfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,522$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 13,714$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…f951backed Yes | 3c | 12,800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…eed9backed Yes | 0c | 12,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Yes | 0c | 12,179$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 1c | 10,847$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…52c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,792$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…9283backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,424$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 5c | 8,210$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.01 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Yes | 0c | 8,052$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 0c | 4,130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,760$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…cab7backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 2,407$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 1c | 2,229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…ac4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,214$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 1c | 2,211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 4c | 2,102$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,887$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,783$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 2c | 1,313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 1c | 1,290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…65aabacked Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Yes | 2c | 1,188$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 1c | 1,097$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes | 1c | 871.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 2c | 830.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…aeb2backed Yes | 2c | 638.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…46d7backed Yes | 2c | 481.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…efabbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Yes | 8c | 360.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 8c | 289.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 21c | 202.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Yes | 8c | 149.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 9c | 120.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…54f6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…f5f5backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…a6d9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.