Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f27cbe6e2d5563d1d34c380ce5bb1efc1555e771b51a8867930808f1aedd3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 0c | 65,005$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed No | 0c | 55,657$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked No | 0c | 44,470$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked No | 0c | 13,742$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 38c | 7,732$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.49 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked No | 1c | 4,802$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked No | 3c | 1,935$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 51c | 1,923$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.74 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 59c | 1,698$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.77 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 59c | 1,458$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.47 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…47ccbacked No | 2c | 1,425$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 63c | 1,288$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 61c | 1,186$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.33 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 63c | 934.07$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.83 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 12c | 916.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 1c | 899.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed No | 7c | 750.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 66c | 726.82$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 66c | 564.68$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 63c | 517.38$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 78c | 251.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 29c | 251.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…bc66backed No | 8c | 239.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 64c | 236.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 59c | 206.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…4322backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 71c | 161.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 42c | 140.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 88.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Yes | 70c | 51.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked No | 42c | 26.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…04febacked No | 73c | 24.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?this page
- Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.