Fifa International · resolved market
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb699b5016fe7a00c69f52dbdab62b9467b60ff60c4b9c96caec35c3f0b288908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x696f…254dbacked Yes | 0c | 88,752$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 11c | 56,699$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…d762backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…6c76backed Yes | 0c | 19,978$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…8213backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,367$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,227$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…9283backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe97backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…48bfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,243$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 1c | 5,754$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,050$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,003$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,854$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yes | 1c | 2,833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 1c | 2,435$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 1c | 2,244$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 1c | 2,111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 1c | 2,107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 2,040$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,570$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…7420backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 1c | 1,086$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Yes | 3c | 1,051$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 2c | 1,035$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 75c | 1,033$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 25c | 1,010$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…a362backed Yes | 1c | 1,006$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…54f6backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…d6b6backed Yes | 7c | 147.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…7d08backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.