TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3764…e02a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.16
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$119.17
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Kings vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+589.2%+$335.86
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+298.4%+$182.04
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$32.08
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$114.32
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+72.8%+$72.84
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$310.59
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90.77
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$278
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+167.9%+$167.86
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+488.2%+$124.5
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$87.1
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+188.5%+$196
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+226.5%+$788.9
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$193.92
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$356.59
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+400%+$160
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+400%+$80.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$173
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$105
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$76.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$31.23
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$114.01
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$160.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+204.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+131.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$84.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.