Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0f3fec64b9ac209bddfadc09e52da76b6e7526c21ab31b63e54c3a51bee1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 29c | 10,042$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.13 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 17c | 3,877$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,847$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.1 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 19c | 891.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 70c | 539.61$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Under | 18c | 216.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…3959backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 71c | 53.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 71c | 45.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 42.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 79c | 14.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)Club Brugge KV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.