TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb85…8464backed Under38c8,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0408132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under38c6,182$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.082045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under41c6,143$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Under1c5,943$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over60c5,934$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.5758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c5,090$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.1234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c5,071$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.631,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over53c4,014$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under18c4,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.987631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over62c2,905$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.94365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c2,239$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.8238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under56c2,040$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.357737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over56c1,997$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.44461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over52c1,952$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.965745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c1,858$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.714759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under44c1,786$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over62c1,722$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.3138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c1,462$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.581,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under2c1,157$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.135829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over61c1,063$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.423348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over62c1,006$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.096253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over62c985.65$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under29c844.26$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over59c829.6$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.946852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over79c769.64$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over59c763.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.024158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under4c699.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c698.46$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under39c563.61$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.817946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over60c503$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.727435.1%26 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd1…05adbacked Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Under39c499$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c468.5$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c445.17$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.177065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under40c427.5$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1717542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17622647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under17c385.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.75042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over60c333.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.784445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over62c305.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.246262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under7c297.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3515938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Under40c292.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under38c261.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over45c248$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.46633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c220$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under18c211.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.327934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over58c193$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.155872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under24c187.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.884450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.679653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under25c165$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.99246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under19c153.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.859233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8720655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204663%29 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under14c139.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under21c126$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under39c121.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c108.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.116144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over61c104.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9221443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Over57c99.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.754957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over54c91.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.111850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over70c81.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over70c75.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.066068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Under39c74.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.255438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over62c73.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0213149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c72.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5819856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa605…5edebacked Under40c71.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under37c69.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8210648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over59c65.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over57c60.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0310647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Over61c54.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.13145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ed…c7d5backed Under47c50.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.538252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Under21c48.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.164533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf680…f435backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Over61c45.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.