TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0ed…c7d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.75
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+50%+$22.36
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.07
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.83
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs ARCRED - Map 2 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.19
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.91
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+105.4%+$21.38
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+403.7%+$80.73
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs DMG Esports (BO1)backed DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+57.4%+$18.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$7.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$12.98
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$21.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+54.6%+$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Konyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.