Champions League · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb559250e48c3b6fb50e2514e099ff3f84469e7c73b06f1ff466749a612f332c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 49c | 100,000$48,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,980.27 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 50c | 38,239$19,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,119.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 14,550$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.49 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 8,516$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.24 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 8,431$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 51c | 8,223$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 54c | 5,041$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.08 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 4,079$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.95 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 52c | 3,829$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 3,791$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.21 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 51c | 3,063$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 3,061$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 2,917$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 79c | 2,328$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 56c | 2,153$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 56c | 1,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.57 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,795$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.81 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 72c | 1,318$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 981.42$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 21c | 961.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 73c | 958.73$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 54c | 915$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 21c | 795.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 52c | 640.24$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 51c | 599.89$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 579.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.42 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…c243backed Under | 51c | 529.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 505.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 471.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 51c | 443.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 38c | 340$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 285.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 263$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 249.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 51c | 211.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 187$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 185.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 46c | 180$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 179.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 78c | 174$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.