Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fcfa2aed3e2c53254f7d755edcac1dba4392307da23dfc54bcc9a5f911af34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Ajaxof Villarreal CF, AFC Ajax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Villarreal CF | 44c | 19,424$8,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 18,600$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked AFC Ajax | 48c | 9,710$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.23 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 7,205$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 6,981$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed AFC Ajax | 56c | 4,511$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.45 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Villarreal CF | 51c | 3,890$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 3,067$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.32 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 2,993$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.73 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Ajax | 56c | 2,443$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.89 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Villarreal CF | 51c | 1,688$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Villarreal CF | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Villarreal CF | 52c | 1,542$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Villarreal CF | 50c | 1,382$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AFC Ajax | 31c | 1,211$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.52 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed AFC Ajax | 56c | 1,176$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 1,104$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…7e21backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 872.1$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF | 42c | 870.2$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.45 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 800$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 697.92$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 687.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked AFC Ajax | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked AFC Ajax | 51c | 599.9$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 597.55$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Villarreal CF | 48c | 554.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Villarreal CF | 46c | 461$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed AFC Ajax | 53c | 455.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AFC Ajax | 60c | 404.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 404.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.74 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…f3c9backed AFC Ajax | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked AFC Ajax | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 220.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed AFC Ajax | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 135.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked AFC Ajax | 48c | 126.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked AFC Ajax | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked AFC Ajax | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked AFC Ajax | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked AFC Ajax | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Villarreal CF | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed AFC Ajax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed AFC Ajax | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Villarreal CF | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed AFC Ajax | 49c | 96.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Villarreal CF | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 87.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked AFC Ajax | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.