Champions League · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6b217b999d987bad59b27e665d022386a62d729f065c624e8bd3296205805f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 2,740$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.28 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 52c | 969.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.33 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 913.74$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.67 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed No | 66c | 727$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Yes | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 39c | 599.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 547.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 535.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 63c | 472.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 61c | 402.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 397.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 36c | 328.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 62c | 322.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 276.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 54c | 232.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 65c | 218.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 40c | 216.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 55c | 197.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 146.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 36c | 69.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 48c | 61.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 59c | 59.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 59c | 41.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 448 | 37.7%169 W · 279 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 56c | 22.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.