TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3702…fdcd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
AFC Ajax vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$320.77
Will NEC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.37
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.11
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$59.64
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.3%+$62.85
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+121.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.