Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e19740c1a4aaf87c7f086e412e1b5e7cf405d9eaa5b7501eb512358099bd71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 71c | 139,307$98,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,398.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 59,903$17,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,970.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.91 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 35,455$9,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,137.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 28,304$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.07 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 71c | 27,000$19,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 29c | 25,026$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 30c | 23,846$7,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 72c | 21,100$15,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 29c | 17,386$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.58 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 70c | 14,910$10,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 74c | 14,522$10,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.75 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 30c | 14,400$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 14,258$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.71 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 12,538$9,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.7 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 11,761$8,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.22 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 30c | 11,703$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 29c | 9,586$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.94 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 67c | 8,998$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.51 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 31c | 8,621$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 30c | 8,600$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 29c | 6,900$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 6,722$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…ec5bbacked Yes | 71c | 6,467$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 6,104$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.03 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 28c | 6,100$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.04 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 5,896$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.8 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 5,830$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.11 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 5,010$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.76 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 30c | 4,473$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 29c | 4,002$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.66 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 30c | 3,610$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 27c | 3,492$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.91 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 72c | 3,393$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.58 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 28c | 3,300$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 75c | 3,294$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 31c | 2,880$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 28c | 2,642$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,627$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 66c | 2,044$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 1,906$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 70c | 1,651$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 25c | 1,620$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 71c | 1,485$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 1,483$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.7 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 29c | 1,442$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…c8cebacked No | 31c | 1,439$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…3a12backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 70c | 1,312$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.71 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 71c | 1,287$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 29c | 1,069$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…d3adbacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…1952backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 28c | 999.91$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 70c | 999.77$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked No | 31c | 858$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Yes | 69c | 855.18$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 850$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 73c | 830.32$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 70c | 824.13$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 71c | 781.69$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 71c | 775.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 72c | 724.68$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 700.94$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes | 69c | 693.62$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…8a3ebacked No | 20c | 644.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…1bf3backed No | 29c | 635.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 26c | 625$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 69c | 612.8$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 70c | 600.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 70c | 600$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 27c | 592.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 29c | 580.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 71c | 577.11$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 71c | 552.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 500.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…441dbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 20c | 493.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 28c | 458.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.