TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c7a…7625

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT26045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.99
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.99
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.97
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$521.12
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.14
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.6
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.98
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$456
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.99
Chisinau: Andrej Nedic vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$669.99
Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenonebacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$360
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$612.51
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$729.98
Geneva Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$464.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33%+$329.74
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$574.2
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+64.8%+$194.44
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$491.99
Will Johannes Lochner (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 4 Man (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.3%+$234.58
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Laura Nolte (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 2 Woman (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+36.7%+$205.95
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$668.66
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$274
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.84
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.51
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+194.1%+$698.82
Will VfL Bochum vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+290.7%+$1,235.88
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,280
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$492.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$193.03
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134.6%+$1,346.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.2%+$2,509.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$372
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.4%+$613.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+41.5%+$415.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$439.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.