Token Launches · resolved market
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9887f39c1e6895690a2f098cdd4ff9d4deee91a6e93d3c567ad603707bac99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,181,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,215,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,181,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f3a…18d1backed No | 61c | 179,783$109,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,272.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 21c | 130,147$26,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,207.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 27c | 106,363$29,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,337.16 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 34c | 98,175$33,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,837.1 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…f0fbbacked No | 76c | 92,124$69,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,655.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 47c | 72,854$34,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,800.4 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…e843backed Yes | 33c | 47,242$15,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,768.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed No | 64c | 41,614$26,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,779.12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed No | 68c | 40,724$27,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,593.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 27c | 36,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,888.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…c7ccbacked No | 67c | 36,875$24,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,848.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…de51backed Yes | 28c | 32,500$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,277.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked No | 37c | 27,089$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 62c | 22,500$13,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,516.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Yes | 39c | 22,344$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,615.81 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…2483backed Yes | 72c | 20,768$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,773.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 67c | 20,311$13,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,618.45 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 50c | 20,164$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked No | 40c | 20,010$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…aa88backed Yes | 51c | 19,464$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,468.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…0f82backed No | 70c | 19,415$13,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,604.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 18c | 19,169$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,653.25 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…5bb2backed No | 50c | 18,875$9,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,432.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…79c9backed Yes | 25c | 18,315$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,650.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 26c | 18,243$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,502.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed No | 79c | 16,433$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,992.35 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 71c | 16,190$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,519.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes | 27c | 14,146$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,315.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed No | 80c | 14,020$11,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,203.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…9357backed Yes | 21c | 14,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,059.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +611.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 22c | 13,807$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.78 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…171abacked Yes | 30c | 13,591$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,513.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 15c | 13,271$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,287.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…9742backed No | 64c | 12,246$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 72c | 12,099$8,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,746 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 40c | 11,303$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.61 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 26c | 11,063$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136.61 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…73dbbacked No | 78c | 10,811$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,467.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…b5a7backed No | 59c | 10,212$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 70c | 9,747$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…f7a3backed No | 64c | 9,573$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 43c | 9,532$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked No | 76c | 9,463$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 40c | 9,408$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 1c | 9,066$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 16c | 9,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.98 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…6148backed Yes | 72c | 8,550$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 31c | 8,025$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…fb96backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 33c | 7,924$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…effebacked No | 77c | 7,835$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed No | 77c | 7,455$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…7f5fbacked Yes | 30c | 7,212$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 26c | 7,171$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked No | 72c | 7,091$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 36c | 7,021$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.5 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 73c | 6,912$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 40c | 6,818$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.18 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed No | 75c | 6,719$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9ee4backed No | 72c | 6,628$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 6,537$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.4 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…9cdcbacked Yes | 31c | 6,523$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…ecf5backed No | 67c | 6,500$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…9a19backed No | 49c | 6,369$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…bb37backed No | 65c | 6,267$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 41c | 6,239$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.94 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 15c | 6,094$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed Yes | 33c | 6,009$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.93 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked No | 70c | 5,959$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 27c | 5,957$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.58 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b2febacked No | 76c | 5,925$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…5731backed No | 5c | 5,800$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…1807backed No | 79c | 5,334$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,089$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed Yes | 18c | 5,011$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.71 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 32c | 4,968$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed No | 68c | 4,562$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…cfa6backed Yes | 21c | 4,561$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…7a6abacked Yes | 31c | 4,543$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed No | 68c | 4,451$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…8cf6backed Yes | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 26c | 4,400$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…a7f5backed No | 78c | 4,363$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed No | 77c | 4,197$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 57c | 4,179$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…74aabacked Yes | 34c | 4,169$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8940…4105backed Yes | 19c | 4,122$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +375.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…9390backed Yes | 24c | 4,106$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked No | 37c | 4,091$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed No | 72c | 4,061$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 78c | 4,025$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 42c | 4,024$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…1588backed Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…bdbfbacked No | 70c | 3,998$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…8550backed No | 71c | 3,972$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 3,773$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.76 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…6c51backed No | 71c | 3,757$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Yes | 27c | 3,705$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.