Token Launches · resolved market
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d8d3957b021e3013bc179b0b43871ae6910fd74ffd2035d169b6a949e53bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 16c | 36,179$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed No | 2c | 19,952$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked No | 0c | 14,910$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 8,611$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…362cbacked No | 8c | 8,562$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked No | 6c | 8,443$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 5c | 7,636$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c1a4backed No | 3c | 7,233$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 3c | 6,960$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 75c | 6,134$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…c636backed No | 1c | 5,992$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed No | 1c | 5,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed No | 4c | 5,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…742fbacked No | 1c | 4,968$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed No | 4c | 4,519$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed No | 7c | 4,129$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…76aebacked No | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 5c | 3,994$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…a3c9backed No | 8c | 3,976$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…0dd2backed No | 0c | 3,856$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…9316backed No | 4c | 3,813$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…8550backed No | 15c | 3,715$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…d58cbacked No | 3c | 3,691$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…76babacked No | 28c | 3,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…9f7dbacked No | 6c | 3,500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ffb0backed No | 19c | 3,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…4e2abacked No | 1c | 2,917$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 3c | 2,636$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 2c | 2,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 2c | 2,474$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked No | 20c | 2,462$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f2…b27abacked No | 3c | 2,432$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…ea8ebacked No | 2c | 2,361$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 10cpaid | +343%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…1807backed No | 7c | 2,322$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed No | 7c | 2,211$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 9c | 2,135$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…19e6backed No | 3c | 2,097$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…2391backed No | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…97ddbacked No | 1c | 1,931$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 6c | 1,756$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…9930backed No | 2c | 1,686$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed No | 13c | 1,512$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 3c | 1,480$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 3c | 1,476$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2c…e7ffbacked No | 9c | 1,330$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…03d1backed No | 8c | 1,247$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked No | 4c | 1,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…7a30backed No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed No | 2c | 1,195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…291fbacked No | 2c | 1,194$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…a63ebacked No | 5c | 1,190$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 9c | 1,149$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cae…e42bbacked No | 3c | 1,135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…d671backed No | 15c | 1,115$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…5b4ebacked No | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…58acbacked No | 20c | 1,014$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…6168backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…bcacbacked No | 5c | 970.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked No | 17c | 963.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed No | 7c | 955.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed No | 20c | 913.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…347abacked No | 4c | 899.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…900bbacked No | 4c | 847.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked No | 12c | 812.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 22c | 790.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…ff1fbacked No | 5c | 754.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 7c | 720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 4c | 700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…e010backed No | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…0542backed No | 8c | 645.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…ac4fbacked No | 16c | 626$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed No | 6c | 582$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…b52dbacked No | 3c | 575.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…d713backed No | 26c | 565.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…523ebacked No | 4c | 557.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9b73backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…1a18backed No | 2c | 554.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed No | 18c | 530$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed No | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…5c88backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…b95cbacked No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…a092backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6003…e0f8backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…75dcbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…046bbacked Yes | 80c | 495$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…4d55backed No | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked No | 16c | 487.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 462.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d312backed No | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…e5aabacked No | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…3849backed No | 3c | 415.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…be17backed No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…661abacked Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.