Token Launches · resolved market
Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b866b0f7daafc5258bb5fcb982dbce2e68421a5dac06fd0db25eab9441598e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b8…6c39backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked Yes | 41c | 2,938$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 76c | 2,200$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.41 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…8131backed No | 20c | 1,841$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked Yes | 1c | 1,529$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 72c | 1,383$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…b499backed Yes | 53c | 1,148$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 26c | 979.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.85 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…c481backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…8e15backed No | 80c | 648.01$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 70c | 622.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 13c | 452.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed No | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…3d88backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…9ab9backed No | 64c | 169.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 65c | 167.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 41c | 160.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb365…382dbacked No | 69c | 139$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 40c | 123.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…9493backed No | 32c | 122.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…3113backed Yes | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.