TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,427,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,462,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,427,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1070…9124backed Yes8c327,092$25,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,927.751435.7%5 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick11cpaid+737.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes35c122,735$42,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,026.063525.7%9 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes27c103,007$27,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,236.848532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3a…18d1backed No78c73,260$57,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,488.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b5…3353backed No13c28,217$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.08540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfddd…9a19backed No14c18,261$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.8250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes24c16,563$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,644.7510336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes10c12,900$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,596.9913023.8%31 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked No53c11,347$5,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,958.812330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4012…020abacked No60c10,909$6,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,537.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-85.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes33c10,292$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,916.383243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Yes67c9,427$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.33444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes13c9,373$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,173.634257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked No38c9,331$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.2610045%45 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes7c9,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,369.9712528%35 W · 90 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes4c8,564$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.76116.4%10 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd180…aa0cbacked Yes73c8,412$6,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes23c8,095$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.713411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed No76c7,615$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.462060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c91…b2febacked No77c6,835$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.531030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed Yes68c6,522$4,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf35…9362backed Yes7c6,000$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.532516%4 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+93%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55c5…a686backed Yes7c5,798$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.532138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes7c5,491$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,126.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes48c5,207$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.8910462.5%65 W · 39 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No21c5,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0607234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No21c4,307$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.473721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba3…e6acbacked No45c4,200$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c59…2b38backed No18c3,871$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…f390backed No73c3,850$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.71833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No71c3,850$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.912425%6 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…158bbacked Yes13c3,846$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.151428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No68c3,750$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.069046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68c…fcb2backed No9c3,394$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d1…79c9backed Yes9c3,230$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.67650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+235.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71fc…171abacked Yes9c3,174$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+265.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe737…daf7backed Yes69c3,066$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.128100%8 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+106.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes13c3,017$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.598739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fca…7033backed No18c3,000$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06dc…fd72backed Yes6c3,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.992441.7%10 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick15cpaid+220.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes15c3,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.972250%11 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+148.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a3…b4a0backed No77c2,949$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21cd…6148backed Yes69c2,913$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba91…72cdbacked Yes14c2,841$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8296…f295backed No72c2,630$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…de6bbacked No39c2,542$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes25c2,368$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.955712.3%7 W · 50 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c7…a2febacked No79c2,367$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.731729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-60.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7d28…ae1fbacked No19c2,300$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…ba94backed No5c2,300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe717…ea8ebacked Yes7c2,280$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick10cpaid+343%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4733…aa88backed Yes25c2,004$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.291136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd35…9f7dbacked No25c2,000$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes5c2,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…95b0backed Yes15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2fe…3692backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7a…0e63backed Yes11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.854517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3709…82a5backed Yes27c1,910$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes33c1,849$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick36cpaid+133.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes29c1,709$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed No39c1,700$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.493823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes36c1,678$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.496123%14 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c1,671$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.2535712.9%46 W · 311 L-29.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x329e…485cbacked Yes7c1,656$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+580.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4c…de5bbacked No48c1,550$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed No66c1,550$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.933256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850f…220cbacked No29c1,533$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9603backed Yes62c1,524$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5826656.1%37 W · 29 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x105a…50ddbacked No35c1,519$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.912917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…1588backed No67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed No47c1,500$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6997231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…729abacked No70c1,450$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.342548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes7c1,429$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.578421.4%18 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick21cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7a…76eebacked No24c1,400$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96b…46dfbacked No52c1,356$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.812133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked No36c1,326$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae3b…3b2bbacked Yes11c1,315$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,155%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefd3…2fa8backed Yes11c1,300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040c…2438backed Yes13c1,300$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd13…256bbacked Yes9c1,300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes34c1,300$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9914732%47 W · 100 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No2c1,285$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.892377.2%17 W · 220 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e59…e56abacked Yes12c1,271$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+286%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f82…d930backed Yes32c1,262$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes69c1,247$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b3…b809backed Yes9c1,229$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbf…cbfebacked Yes8c1,227$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick8cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes11c1,225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0902528%7 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+230.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8399…cab5backed Yes13c1,222$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes72c1,208$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…1acdbacked Yes7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1a…db8dbacked Yes7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa91f…c3b8backed Yes8c1,200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick8cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b59…ffebbacked Yes7c1,166$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67c…d40ebacked Yes11c1,146$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7628…a7efbacked Yes59c1,125$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.42887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5027…0729backed Yes13c1,120$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.451936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+192.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x075b…9a8cbacked Yes12c1,110$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+178.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes11c1,107$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.281827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+116.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb4…bbbdbacked Yes7c1,100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.