Token Launches · resolved market
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0283c2ba519a68decee3150a596159c5c0afcbe718b1f319383c53df416aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,027,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,014,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,027,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 11c | 241,172$27,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,548.06 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…171abacked Yes | 6c | 182,126$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,247.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 3c | 171,927$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,284.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 31c | 148,219$46,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,933.01 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed No | 59c | 64,938$38,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,517.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 6c | 28,042$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 64c | 25,253$16,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,137.6 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…e843backed No | 23c | 23,731$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 14c | 23,174$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,045.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…735fbacked Yes | 17c | 23,070$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,148.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 18c | 20,517$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,790.6 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 60c | 20,000$12,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…3f99backed No | 0c | 15,740$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 70c | 13,149$9,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,213.86 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked No | 74c | 12,260$9,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,124.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 52c | 11,047$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…de51backed Yes | 63c | 10,613$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a9…12d7backed No | 75c | 9,262$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 5c | 9,000$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,576.66 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…f7a3backed No | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed No | 25c | 6,732$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…79c9backed Yes | 18c | 6,282$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 7c | 6,258$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 6,254$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.98 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…c481backed Yes | 65c | 6,225$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 27c | 5,850$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.76 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 2c | 5,666$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.57 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…9c6fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,561$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 22c | 5,192$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…5c72backed No | 77c | 5,097$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,880$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.01 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 32c | 4,382$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.09 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes | 3c | 4,209$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.84 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 13c | 3,998$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 14c | 3,876$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed No | 1c | 3,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed No | 32c | 3,741$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…5bb2backed No | 79c | 3,707$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 79c | 3,392$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.78 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…0f82backed Yes | 72c | 3,077$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…52d6backed No | 2c | 2,957$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 50c | 2,870$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…cf39backed Yes | 78c | 2,831$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,810.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 58c | 2,667$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…aa88backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Yes | 68c | 2,581$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed No | 10c | 2,571$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 7c | 2,474$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 70c | 2,380$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 72c | 2,339$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 37c | 2,333$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.47 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed No | 29c | 2,259$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,222$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.57 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…5f20backed No | 69c | 2,087$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 2,022$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.17 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…3692backed No | 45c | 2,000$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1dbcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…1588backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.99 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.75 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…76eebacked No | 56c | 1,999$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,963$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.95 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed No | 74c | 1,955$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…0729backed Yes | 8c | 1,882$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 65c | 1,876$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed No | 9c | 1,850$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 63c | 1,839$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafed…482abacked Yes | 60c | 1,755$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…c481backed Yes | 15c | 1,731$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.81 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…afb4backed Yes | 38c | 1,698$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed Yes | 4c | 1,691$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…05bfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,628$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed No | 35c | 1,600$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 25c | 1,566$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,540$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 8c | 1,491$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.57 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes | 78c | 1,456$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…9c20backed No | 13c | 1,338$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked No | 44c | 1,332$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…f94fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,266$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed No | 57c | 1,209$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.55 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…dd5abacked Yes | 18c | 1,151$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d53fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,147$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked No | 64c | 1,143$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.46 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…ca44backed Yes | 17c | 1,134$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…88c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,109$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…9a19backed No | 53c | 1,107$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…220cbacked No | 50c | 1,100$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…3b2bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…9930backed No | 9c | 1,097$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…40e6backed Yes | 17c | 1,086$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…c5babacked Yes | 18c | 1,076$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…d953backed Yes | 17c | 1,072$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8447…242dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.