Token Launches · resolved market
Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a16bbcb7e4a98c7553e4cd299a2eab5cf4a550635eff609d968f1723df1423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $552,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfddd…9a19backed Yes | 20c | 49,986$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…c7ccbacked Yes | 2c | 45,000$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 4c | 29,070$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.74 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 1c | 23,426$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 19,664$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 6c | 11,544$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…73dbbacked No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…31bdbacked No | 80c | 9,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 8c | 8,694$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.62 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,522$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dc…6a05backed Yes | 2c | 7,110$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…afb4backed Yes | 2c | 6,900$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…0729backed Yes | 3c | 5,251$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 11c | 5,020$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.17 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 1c | 4,706$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed Yes | 4c | 4,259$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…9f7dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,993$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…b499backed Yes | 13c | 3,933$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…5c5bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,604$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…ea8ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,403$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 10cpaid | +343%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes | 4c | 2,827$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked No | 80c | 2,616$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…0af6backed Yes | 2c | 2,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 2c | 2,213$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…8131backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…8f3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,961$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…79c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,883$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…aa88backed Yes | 6c | 1,794$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…573ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,620$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,584$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,557$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 2c | 1,528$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 2c | 1,520$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…6f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccc…e33cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,446$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…4930backed Yes | 8c | 1,426$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…f50dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,325$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…6711backed Yes | 5c | 1,300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…70c4backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…4475backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…4ff3backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…ba74backed Yes | 5c | 1,196$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…23c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…7598backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…8713backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…e98cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…19debacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…c4a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…7e0ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…e5f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,031$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…dbc3backed Yes | 4c | 1,005$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…e895backed Yes | 5c | 1,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…21a6backed Yes | 4c | 990$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…c3cabacked Yes | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bc43backed Yes | 5c | 932$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…c5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 928.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…2111backed Yes | 4c | 926$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 9c | 721.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…03a1backed Yes | 13c | 702.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 10c | 693.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 6c | 679.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…66aabacked Yes | 17c | 661.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…204bbacked No | 80c | 636.8$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 5c | 607.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…b019backed Yes | 4c | 602.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 4c | 578.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 3c | 545.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed Yes | 10c | 501.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ffb0backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…3783backed No | 80c | 478.98$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 5c | 416$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…ee22backed Yes | 3c | 410$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…f295backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…5342backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…0a58backed Yes | 6c | 397.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 13c | 388.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 5c | 382.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…2bbcbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…e369backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 325$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Yes | 10c | 325$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…cf2bbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed No | 80c | 288.41$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed No | 80c | 240.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…4decbacked Yes | 4c | 231$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…bc54backed Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…d8c3backed Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.