TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$552,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfddd…9a19backed Yes20c49,986$9,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,839.3850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fef…c7ccbacked Yes2c45,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes4c29,070$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.743525.7%9 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1070…9124backed Yes1c23,426$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.441435.7%5 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick11cpaid+737.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c19,664$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.37663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes6c11,544$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4629…73dbbacked No80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…fd72backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002441.7%10 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick15cpaid+220.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012528%35 W · 90 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd71f…31bdbacked No80c9,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes8c8,694$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6210336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c8,522$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.922377.2%17 W · 220 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71dc…6a05backed Yes2c7,110$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…afb4backed Yes2c6,900$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5027…0729backed Yes3c5,251$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.691936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+192.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes11c5,020$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.176634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes4c5,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.425712.3%7 W · 50 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741b…d021backed Yes1c4,706$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.333735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…a206backed Yes4c4,259$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.654327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd35…9f7dbacked Yes2c4,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes3c3,993$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.911107.3%8 W · 102 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…b499backed Yes13c3,933$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7749…5c5bbacked Yes6c3,604$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe717…ea8ebacked Yes1c3,403$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick10cpaid+343%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes4c2,827$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003411.8%4 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked No80c2,616$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd160…0af6backed Yes2c2,348$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes2c2,213$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes5c2,003$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfe…8131backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07f…8f3ebacked Yes3c1,961$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d1…79c9backed Yes3c1,883$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+235.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4733…aa88backed Yes6c1,794$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8c…573ebacked Yes4c1,620$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes1c1,584$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes4c1,557$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.871827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+116.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes2c1,528$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.835832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes2c1,520$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.542520%5 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df4…6f5dbacked Yes1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccc…e33cbacked Yes8c1,446$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ea3…4930backed Yes8c1,426$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab52…f50dbacked Yes5c1,325$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9a…6711backed Yes5c1,300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd067…70c4backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c3…4475backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…4ff3backed Yes5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f22…ba74backed Yes5c1,196$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd018…23c1backed Yes4c1,100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5be…7598backed Yes5c1,100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e2…8713backed Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5979…e98cbacked Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf258…19debacked Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21712.9%5 W · 166 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-37.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58ab…c4a8backed Yes4c1,050$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…7e0ebacked Yes5c1,050$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4b…e5f7backed Yes5c1,031$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ed…dbc3backed Yes4c1,005$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…e895backed Yes5c1,005$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6033backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3694…4fd6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes3c999.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.773724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb624…21a6backed Yes4c990$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc778…c3cabacked Yes5c990$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c0…bc43backed Yes5c932$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7470…c5bcbacked Yes5c928.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea25…2111backed Yes4c926$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes9c721.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.062420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889b…03a1backed Yes13c702.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes2c700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47514.7%11 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes10c693.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.868127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes6c679.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406123%14 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f40…66aabacked Yes17c661.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+88.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3834…204bbacked No80c636.8$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433b…f372backed Yes5c607.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfff…b019backed Yes4c602.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes3c600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7180%0 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes4c578.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes3c545.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0890%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x606f…a0b9backed Yes10c501.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c9…ffb0backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b91…3783backed No80c478.98$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.81225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes5c416$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6364…ee22backed Yes3c410$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8296…f295backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab5d…5342backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…0a58backed Yes6c397.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes13c388.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes5c382.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd0…2bbcbacked Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095a…e369backed Yes9c330$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c325$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6135712.9%46 W · 311 L-29.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f9…e350backed Yes10c325$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+217.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a24…cf2bbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.955832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1988…80f5backed No80c288.41$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed No80c240.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.083330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f69…4decbacked Yes4c231$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…bc54backed Yes9c224.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffdb…d8c3backed Yes9c224.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.